2016年8月10日星期三

Wednesday Morning Briefing: A call to arms? Or a polite request to vote?

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"If she gets to pick her judges, nothing you can do folks. Although the Second Amendment people, maybe there is, I don’t know." – Donald Trump, Aug. 9, 2016

 

To the Hillary Clinton camp and many of her voters, the message couldn't be clearer: Exercise your Second Amendment right to bear arms and stop Clinton. But that's not what he meant at all, Trump's minders said: He meant, "Get out and vote."

The pattern is familiar.

Digit of the day:

7 points

 

That's the size of Clinton's lead over Trump, according to the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll, up from 3 points in the poll released last Thursday. But perhaps more importantly, let's look at the so-called "three state strategy."

h/t RealClear Politics

And the betting markets? PredictWise says Clinton has an 80 percent chance of winning the White House. That's the highest probability so far. In fact, the Democrats have a 68 percent chance of taking back the Senate. In the House, the betting markets believe the Republicans will lose ground, but there's only an 18 percent chance the Democrats will win back the majority.


REUTERS/Damir Sagolj

 

That about sums it up. The U.S. women's gymnastics team crushed the competition, led by 19-year-old Simone Biles' jaw-dropping floor routine and Madison Kocian's exquisite display on the uneven bars. The team, which includes the veteran Gabby Douglas, captain Aly Raisman and newest member 16-year-old Laurie Hernandez, dubbed themselves the "Final Five" in honor of their retiring coach Marta Karolyi.

Elsewhere around the Olympics:

  • Yeah, Michael Phelps His 20th gold medal. This one in the 200-meter butterfly, the stroke that eluded him in years past. Last night, he vanquished his South African rival Chad le Clos, who did not medal.
  • Katie Ledecky takes home her second gold medal, winning the 200-meter freestyle, although Sweden's swimming powerhouse Sarah Sjostrom certainly made it interesting down the stretch. Only 0.35 of a second separated the two.
  • Serena Williams, the world's top female tennis player, was handed a dramatic upset at the hands of No. 20 ranked Elina Svitolina from Ukraine. The other American competitor, Madison Keys, advanced to the next round.
  • The U.S. women's soccer team let one get away to Colombia, who hadn't scored in the tournament until yesterday. Columbia picked up a goal early. The U.S. rallied back with two goals from Crystal Dunn and Mallory Pugh. Then in the final minute Colombia's Catalina Usme tied up the game with her second goal of the day. The match ended in a 2-2 tie, allowing the Americans to advance to the quarterfinals, which begin on Friday. 

Coming up today:

  • The men's individual all-around gymnastics final: Ukraine's Oleg Verniaiev leads a tight pack, followed by Japan's Kohei Uchimura and Russia's David Belyavsky. The U.S. will be represented by Samuel Mikulak and Christopher Brooks.
  • Lots more swimming: Caeleb Dressel and Nathan Adrian will go for medals for the United States in the 100 meter freestyle. 

Around the world

  • Vietnam fortified several of its islands in the disputed South China Sea with new mobile rocket launchers capable of striking China's runways and military installations across the vital trade route, Western officials said. Beijing won't be happy.
  • Brazil's Senate voted to indict President Dilma Rousseff and put her on trial in an impeachment process that has stalled Brazilian politics since January. She’s been charged with breaking budget laws. A conviction would definitively remove Rousseff from office, ending 13 years of leftist rule by her Workers Party.
  • Saudi Arabia intercepted two ballistic missiles fired at the kingdom by Yemen's Houthi movement, Saudi-owned Al Arabiya TV reported. The attack follows renewed air strikes by a Saudi-led military coalition on the Houthi-controlled Yemeni capital, Sanaa.

Around Wall Street

  • One of Tesla's cars crashed in Beijing while in 'autopilot' mode. The driver said sales staff sold the function as 'self-driving', overplaying its actual capabilities. Tesla said the driver's hands were not detected on the steering wheel.
  • During a money laundering crackdown in 2011, the U.S. Treasury Department tried to close a loophole that allowed drug cartels to move cash across borders on gift cards. But the department's enforcement division later withdrew its proposed rule after pushback from the prepaid card industry.
  • Low interest rates and an improving job market have created a wave of prospective first-time home buyers, but they're being stymied by a dearth of available starter homes. The shrinking supply of affordable homes is one economic trend among many that is conspiring against younger workers and families in building wealth as their parents once did.

Around the country

  • African-American residents in Baltimore are routinely subjected to unconstitutional stops, arrests and excessive force by the Baltimore Police Department, according to a scathing Justice Department report. The report comes 16 months after Freddie Gray died in police custody. Six officers were charged in Gray's death, but four trials ended without a conviction. Prosecutors dropped the remaining charges last month.
  • Delta Air Lines is expected to return to normal operations later today, but not before the cancellation of 90 more flights. The airline has already cancelled more than 1,600 flights over the last two days because of a power outage that crippled its computers.
  • A wildfire in the mountains and foothills east of Los Angeles mushroomed more than 50 percent overnight, forcing authorities to order three school districts to cancel classes due to heavy smoke and dangerous conditions.

Today's reason to live

Bruce Springsteen – The Promise

 

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