2016年10月31日星期一

Monday Morning Briefing: You want Halloween thrills? Look no further than the election

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Let's start with what we know.

 

Federal investigators have a warrant to review newly discovered emails that could be related to the investigation into Hillary Clinton's use of a private server while she was secretary of state. FBI Director James Comey wants to know if any of these emails contained classified information. He said this in a letter to Congress disclosed Friday afternoon, 11 days before the election.

Digits of the day:

650,000

 

Investigators found 650,000 emails on a laptop used by former U.S. Representative Anthony Weiner and his estranged wife Huma Abedin, a close aide of Clinton's, the Wall Street Journal reported yesterday. The emails were discovered as part of an investigation into whether or not Weiner solicited sex from a 15-year-old girl over Twitter. The investigation into the emails will take several weeks, well beyond the Nov. 8 election.

The Democrats and the Clinton campaign were mad -- hopping mad. Most recently, Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid of Nevada had this to say to Comey:

"Through your partisan actions, you may have broken the law."

Donald Trump and the Republicans? Well, they proclaimed outrage throughout the weekend.

What don't we know?

A lot, actually. But let's start with why now? Why 11 days before the election? It's more complicated than that. The FBI seized Anthony Weiner's laptop, iPhone and iPad on Oct. 3, as part of the sexting probe, the New York Times reported. While searching the laptop, they discovered a bunch of emails sent between Abedin and Clinton aides. But in order to search them, they needed a court order.

It was at this point that Comey once again broke with FBI tradition. It was fairly unusual when James Comey held a press conference in July, during which he said the FBI would not recommend charges be brought against Clinton. But last Friday, he overruled Justice Department officials who believed that sending his letter to Congress would create the impression of partisan bias on the part of the agency. But Comey believed that if he wasn't completely transparent with Congress, he would have looked even more partisan. His final decision ended up making everyone unhappy, except maybe Donald Trump.

What's in the emails? We don't know and we won't know for weeks. It's expected that some of the emails are duplicates of ones that have already been reviewed.

How will it affect the election? Ah, the $64,000 question. Before the news broke, Clinton was already losing ground in Florida, Ohio, Iowa and North Carolina. It will take a few days for the polling to reflect this latest bombshell. Having said that, she could lose all four states and still win the election if she holds on to Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. But she would limp into office a damaged candidate, making it more difficult to push through her agenda. The impact on down-ballot races is also unclear. If the latest news convinces soft Clinton supporters to stay home on Election Day, it would hurt the Democrats chances of winning back the Senate.

Fivethirtyeight's "polls-only" forecast has her probability of winning dipping to 79 percent, her lowest level since Oct. 6. She peaked at 87 percent on Oct. 17, shortly before the third debate. Betting markets are at an 87 percent probability of a Clinton victory, down four points from her peak a week ago.

Toilet paper depicting Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton at the It's Sugar candy shop in Pasadena, Calif., Oct. 30, 2016. REUTERS/Mario Anzuoni


Around the country

  • American women are ending pregnancies with medication almost as often as with surgery, marking a turning point for abortion in the United States.
  • Although the sale of marijuana is a federal crime, the number of U.S. banks working with pot businesses, now sanctioned in many states, is growing, up 45 percent in the last year alone. Still, marijuana merchants say there are not nearly enough banks willing to take their cash. So many dispensaries resort to stashing cash in storage units, back offices and armored vans.
  • Starting pitcher Jon Lester delivered for the Chicago Cubs in Game 5 of the World Series, holding the Cleveland Indians to two runs. Cubs closer Aroldis Chapman pitched two-and-two-thirds innings to seal the 3-2 victory, sending the series back to Cleveland. The Tribe leads the series three games to two.

Around Wall Street

  • General Electric, banking on a recovery in oil prices, plans to merge its oil and gas business with No. 3 oilfield services provider Baker Hughes.
  • New York's financial regulator had sights set on becoming a global hub for innovations like bitcoin when it adopted trailblazing virtual currency rules last year. But the state lost that momentum when the agency's chief left, putting a licensing process in limbo and allowing rivals to catch up.

Around the world

  • U.S.-backed Iraqi troops are preparing to move on the eastern bank of the Tigris River that divides Mosul. Pro-Iranian Iraqi Shi'ite militias joined the fighting over the weekend, aiming to cut the route between Mosul and Raqqa, Islamic State's main stronghold in Syria.
  • Venezuela's unpopular socialist leader Nicolas Maduro shook hands with opposition leaders at Vatican-convened talks, but his wary foes threatened to boycott further meetings if some demands were not quickly met.
  • Thailand is making preparations for Crown Prince Maha Vajiralongkorn to ascend the throne on Dec. 1, following the death of King Bhumibol Adulyadej earlier this month.

Today's reason to live

Classics IV - Spooky

 

 

每日新闻快报:美国称联合国针对朝鲜的一揽子新制裁措施正在成形;韩国总统朴槿惠助手因干政丑闻辞职;欧佩克未能敲定执行减产协议的计划

华尔街日报中文网

每日新闻快报

美国称联合国针对朝鲜的一揽子新制裁措施正在成形

韩国总统朴槿惠助手因干政丑闻辞职

欧佩克未能敲定执行减产协议的计划

本公众号最新文章:经济学大师凯恩斯的股市投资之道——勇气,勇气,还是勇气

FBI重启希拉里"邮件门"调查

中通快递IPO为红杉资本中国基金带来10亿美元帐面利润

波音中国工厂将落户舟山

中国银联限制客户购买海外保险产品

油价形势不明,中国石油巨头减支度日

澳新银行将向星展集团出售亚洲零售和理财业务

本栏目文字内容归道琼斯公司所有, 任何单位及个人未经许可, 不得擅自转载使用。

Copyright 2014 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

2016年10月29日星期六

Reuters Technology Report: October 28, 2016

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Friday, October 28, 2016
Toyota invests in U.S. car-sharing service
TOKYO (Reuters) - Toyota Motor Corp on Friday said it has invested in U.S. car-sharing company Getaround, a move that comes as global automakers seek to shore up their presence in new technology sectors amid growing competition from transport startups.
EU privacy watchdogs warn WhatsApp on privacy policy, Yahoo on breach
BRUSSELS (Reuters) - European privacy watchdogs said on Friday they had sent letters to WhatsApp over its sharing of information with parent company Facebook and Yahoo over a 2014 data breach and its scanning of customer emails for U.S. intelligence purposes.
Amazon targets Chinese demand for overseas shopping with Prime launch
BEIJING (Reuters) - Amazon.com Inc has launched a tailored version of its Prime service in China to tap consumer demand for overseas goods, putting the U.S. online retail firm in closer competition with local rivals Alibaba Group and JD.com.
Facebook executives feel the heat of content controversies
SAN FRANCISCO/WASHINGTON (Reuters) - After Facebook's removal of an iconic Vietnam war photo stirred an international uproar last month, the social network's executives quickly backtracked and cleared its publication.
After third-quarter revenue drop, Baidu warns China ad curbs to hit fourth-quarter harder
BEIJING (Reuters) - Chinese internet search giant Baidu Inc warned investors fourth-quarter revenue will slide, hitting shares, as a government crackdown on healthcare advertising that tipped the firm into its first-ever quarterly sales drop bites even harder.
Amazon delivery contractor settles on New York back wages
New York (Reuters) - An Amazon.com Inc delivery contractor in New York City has agreed to pay $100,000 in back wages to drivers after making deductions for lunch breaks that the workers never took, the state attorney general's office said on Friday.
Amazon forecast for holiday season disappoints as investment rises
(Reuters) - Amazon.com Inc on Thursday said high spending on warehouses and video production would drag on profits in the holiday quarter, disappointing investors who are weary of roller coaster results from the e-commerce giant and sending its shares down 6 percent.
Google parent Alphabet profit surges on mobile, video ads
(Reuters) - Google parent Alphabet Inc bested analysts' estimates for third-quarter profit and revenue on Thursday as the search company showed it has honed its core business for the mobile era and is closing in on the next wave of computing.
Apple adds touch screen keys to MacBook Pro, price jump startles some
CUPERTINO, Calif. (Reuters) - Apple Inc unveiled a revamped MacBook Pro on Thursday, adding a fingerprint reader, replacing function keys with a small touch screen and raising prices by several hundred dollars.
Twitter's video-sharing mobile app Vine to close
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Twitter Inc announced Thursday that it would discontinue the video-sharing mobile app Vine, as it moves to cut 9 percent of its workforce worldwide to keep costs down after beating Wall Street quarterly earnings expectations.
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