2016年9月26日星期一

Monday Morning Briefing: Substance vs. style in tonight's debate

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Reuters
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How important is tonight's debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump? Half of U.S. voters will rely on the debates to help them make their final decision. In some ways, it's a classic showdown between substance and style. Clinton is betting on her command over policy. Trump vanquished 16 opponents in the Republican primaries with – it wasn't charm exactly. He showed off the tools that made him the successful reality TV star that he is, with verbal attacks on Mexicans, Muslims and other candidates playing a key role.. Now he'll have to take that style into a one-on-one situation with Clinton. That's why this debate is expected to be a blockbuster for the television networks.

Digit of the day:

3 points

That's the lead Hillary Clinton has in the polls for the popular vote, according to RealClear Politics' average, down from about 8 points a month ago. Since her convention bump, she has lost leads in Florida, North Carolina and Ohio, according to FiveThirtyEight.com. If the election were held today, Clinton would still have an edge of 21 electoral votes. Her win probability has shrunk to 57 percent from a high of 80 percent after the convention. Betting markets are more kind to Clinton, giving her a 70 percent chance of winning, from a high of 81 percent six weeks ago.


Charlotte demonstrators say they plan to continue their protests until the police release all of the footage of an officer killing Keith Scott. Since violence erupted on Wednesday night, the protests have become more peaceful if no less passionate. Police say they felt threatened by a gun Scott was carrying. The Scott family said he wasn't carrying a gun. Police issued portions of the video over the weekend under pressure from protesters. But the video didn't prove anything conclusively. The local NFL game between the Carolina Panthers and the Minnesota Vikings went off without incident – unless you count the Vikings ending the Panthers 14-game home winning streak with a 22-10 victory.


A tale of 'suffering and delight'

President Obama and First Lady Michelle Obama, along with four generations of the Bonner family, ring the bell of the First Baptist Church during the dedication of the Smithsonian’s National Museum of African American History and Culture in Washington, Sept. 24, 2016. REUTERS/Joshua Roberts


Around the country

  • Anyone want to guess what the top issue will be at President Obama's Tribal Nations Conference with Native Americans this week? Right. The North Dakota pipeline that runs near sacred sites of the Standing Rock Sioux. Thousands of Native Americans and environmentalists are encamped on the North Dakota prairie to demonstrate against Energy Transfer Partners' $3.7 billion oil pipeline.
  • Arnold Palmer, one of the greatest and most popular golfers in history, died of heart complications yesterday at age 87.

Quote of the day

"Arnold transcended the game of golf. He was more than a golfer or even great golfer. He was an icon. He was a legend. Arnold was someone who was a pioneer in his sport. He took the game from one level to a higher level, virtually by himself." – Jack Nicklaus, winner of 18 major championships.

  • In another blow to the sports world, the Miami Marlins' Jose Fernandez, one of the most dominant pitchers in Major League Baseball and a hero to Miami's Cuban community, was killed in a boating crash in Florida. He was 24 years old. As a teenager, Fernandez survived harrowing conditions at sea as he fled Cuba to start a new life in the United States. He of three men killed when a 32-foot boat collided with a rocky jetty off Miami Beach, the Coast Guard said.

Around the world

  • Donald Trump told Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that if elected, the United States would recognize Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, marking a potentially dramatic shift in U.S. policy. While Israel calls Jerusalem its capital, few other countries accept that, including the United States. Most nations maintain embassies in Tel Aviv. Palestinians want East Jerusalem, captured by Israel in a 1967 war, as capital of the state they aim to establish alongside Israel in the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
  • Nations from Poland to Mongolia are looking for new ways to squeeze North Korea, which recently defied U.N. resolutions to conduct its fifth nuclear test. They don't have many options given North Korea's limited links with the rest of the world. But these countries, with prodding from South Korea and the United States, are kicking out North Korean workers, ending visa-free travel for its citizens and stripping flags of convenience from its ships.
  • The Kremlin accused Syrian rebels of using the ceasefire to regroup and wage offensives against government troops. Meanwhile the government, backed by the Russian air force, continued its assault on Aleppo.

Around Wall Street

  • Takata Corp, the airbag maker laboring under $10 billion in recall costs, is up an unpleasant estuary without a means of propulsion. They're trying to put itself on the block, but they're having trouble finding bidders willing to take on the company's debt. Takata could solve that problem by declaring bankruptcy, but its creditors, like Honda, are sure to object to the move because they will have to swallow significant losses.
  • The world's oil largest producers are gathering in Algeria to discuss ways to support the market, although skepticism about any deal being reached has prompted money managers to cut their bullish bets on the oil price to a one-month low.

Today's reason to live

Monty Python – The Great Debate

With love to Terry Jones

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